Measuring Economic Uncertainty for Poland

Measuring Economic Uncertainty Using the Survey of Professional Forecasters

Uncertainty about how the economy will evolve is a key concern for households and firms. People’s views on how likely it is that the economy will be growing, stagnating, or in recession help shape the actions they ncertainty about how the economy will evolve is a key concern for households and firms. People’s views on how likely it is that the economy will be growing, stagnating, or in recessio...

Numerical modeling of economic uncertainty

Representation and modeling of economic uncertainty is addressed by different modeling methods, namely stochastic variables and probabilities, interval analysis, and fuzzy numbers, in particular triple estimates. Fo-cusing on discounted cash flow analysis numerical results are presented, comparisons are made between alter-native modeling methods, and characteristics of the methods are discussed.

Economic Integration in Interwar Poland

In this paper we study the issue of economic integration in Poland between 1924 and 1937 by means of a threshold cointegration analysis of the law of one price. We find that the interwar economy can be regarded as integrated but with obvious restrictions which refer to the existence of relevant transaction costs for arbitrage and differences in the level of prices between cities. Moreover, the ...

Uncertainty in Economic Analysis and the Economic Analysis of Uncertainty∗

Measuring Uncertainty in Games

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